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【讨论扰动】94W-16.08.30编

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IP属地:广东来自Android客户端1楼2016-08-31 20:50回复
    多少层了?


    IP属地:广东来自Android客户端7楼2016-08-31 20:51
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      GALE WARNING.
      TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA
      AT 21.3N 124.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS.
      POSITION FAIR.


      IP属地:广东来自Android客户端8楼2016-08-31 20:53
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        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
        (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
        NEAR 21.4N 123.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 124.8E, APPROXIMATELY
        180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ISHIGAKI-JIMA, JAPAN. ANIMATED
        MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
        CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION OVER THE
        CENTER. A 310611Z GPM 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS FRAGMENTED CURVED
        CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND A WELL DEFINED LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS
        LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND
        LOW (5-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
        FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE WEAK
        DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS
        NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
        AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
        NEAR 1004 MB. DO TO THE IMPROVED MICROWAVE SIGNATURE AND FAVORABLE
        ENVIRONMENT; THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
        TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE
        REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 310930) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
        (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.


        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端9楼2016-08-31 20:55
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          另外TCFA
          WTPN21 PGTW 310930
          MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
          SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
          RMKS/
          1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
          175 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 21.0N 124.0E TO 25.1N 131.2E
          WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
          ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
          WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT
          IMAGERY AT 310600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
          NEAR 21.4N 124.8E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
          KNOTS.
          2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
          NEAR 21.4N 123.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 124.8E, APPROXIMATELY
          180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ISHIGAKI-JIMA, JAPAN. ANIMATED
          MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
          CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER.
          A 310611Z GPM 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS FRAGMENTED CURVED
          CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND A WELL DEFINED LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS
          LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND
          LOW (5-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
          FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE WEAK
          DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS
          NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
          AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
          NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVED MICROWAVE SIGNATURE AND FAVORABLE
          ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
          TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
          3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
          010930Z.//
          NNNN


          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端10楼2016-08-31 20:56
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            HIGHT


            IP属地:广东来自Android客户端11楼2016-08-31 20:58
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