2

JTWC是真的非常无聊，怀疑定位标错了。

果然是定位标错了，南印度洋中部的扰动。短期内不会有什么发展，但EC支持除夕成旋。
99S INVEST 170121 0600 9.9S 75.0E SHEM 15 1010

南半球：我在学习2016西太平洋，晒出180天

J看SSD编了他也编了，马达加斯加东北部的不编编这个

扰动修改至昨天生成
SH, 99, 2017012012, , BEST, 0, 96S, 731E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
SH, 99, 2017012018, , BEST, 0, 97S, 738E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
SH, 99, 2017012100, , BEST, 0, 98S, 744E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
SH, 99, 2017012106, , BEST, 0, 99S, 750E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,

99S INVEST
As of 06:00 UTC Jan 21, 2017:
Location: 9.9°S 75.0°E
Maximum Winds: 15 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1010 mb
GFS和GEM定位完全不同

SH99: INVEST (15kts)

南印沉寂已久 这货如果成为TS 它的名称将是Carlos 个人翻译为卡洛斯（PS 南印沉寂3个月了 按JTWC就是6个月 能不能成旋呢）

TXXS21 KNES 210555
TCSSIO
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
B. 21/0530Z
C. 9.8S
D. 75.2E
E. THREE/MET-7
F. T1.5/1.5/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY SHEAR, THE SYSTEM IS
CHARACTERIZED BY CIRCULAR, TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES AND A CENTER
LESS THAN 1.25 DEGREES FROM A LARGE, COLD OVERCAST MEASURING AT LEAST
1.5 DEGREES. THIS RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.0 USING THE SHEAR PATTERN. MET
IS 1.0 AND PT IS 1.5. FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS LIMITING CHANGES IN FT
TO 0.5 OVER 6 HOURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK

风场扫到25kt，modis的图上可以看到非常cute的llcc

SH, 99, 2017012106, , BEST, 0, 99S, 750E, 25, 1004, TD, 修改气压

SH, 99, 2017012112, , BEST, 0, 102S, 754E, 25, 1004, TD,